Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 345.907442 391.787054 442.561071 503.105835 573.577141 653.300988 750.723689
2025-11-23 273.090870 332.336740 403.686934 496.682667 615.768119 764.605387 967.001382
2025-11-30 236.102355 301.288901 384.356076 499.408149 656.901565 868.293715 1179.266737
2025-12-07 205.924110 272.604178 361.400603 490.455448 676.870054 942.152984 1358.968889
2025-12-14 184.553111 252.036802 345.345810 486.726063 700.797042 1021.722245 1556.991270
2025-12-21 162.863866 228.137535 321.217949 467.210375 697.185489 1057.572759 1690.509971
2025-12-28 154.128545 221.592790 320.902187 482.367010 747.525642 1183.133355 1992.134783
2026-01-04 147.572759 217.383055 323.254642 501.355802 805.737500 1329.224958 2356.500465
2026-01-11 138.079656 207.637381 315.842644 503.290007 834.955346 1428.837254 2653.046866
2026-01-18 127.124072 194.546809 301.734159 492.169569 839.432592 1483.644105 2871.023015
2026-01-25 117.720227 183.116046 289.208110 482.222792 844.374157 1539.308879 3100.647764
2026-02-01 113.461149 179.713395 289.647841 495.049884 893.087067 1686.971967 3560.224665
2026-02-08 106.934408 172.122502 282.491792 493.702055 915.148684 1785.994242 3936.463351
2026-02-15 100.264610 163.781006 273.327876 487.655899 927.144187 1865.990906 4287.006228
2026-02-22 95.555315 158.453725 269.010765 490.309392 957.130736 1989.774505 4778.017656
2026-03-01 89.675950 150.604512 259.432335 481.547871 961.622704 2056.148690 5133.040012
2026-03-08 85.005660 144.591241 252.753404 477.897560 976.717843 2149.809692 5588.594906
2026-03-15 78.776774 135.309568 239.210723 458.794235 954.734524 2149.687298 5770.414237
2026-03-22 77.165787 134.468008 241.737833 473.630862 1012.695871 2360.101610 6654.909579
2026-03-29 76.042362 134.447235 245.829872 492.216341 1082.140645 2613.717017 7762.164633
2026-04-05 73.156360 130.846103 242.506529 494.109317 1111.077135 2763.245626 8566.744936
2026-04-12 69.161936 124.838720 233.878866 483.225546 1106.496199 2817.894504 9049.694324
2026-04-19 65.567329 119.406139 226.060919 473.489697 1103.718285 2877.618474 9573.278536